Paper Audit
Corpus › Gil (2023)

Not gentrification, not touristification: Short-term rentals as a housing assetization strategy

Javier Gil · 2023 · Journal of Urban Affairs · Published online 13 Sep 2023 (file name suggests 2024 print issue)· doi:10.1080/07352166.2023.2242532

journal article · language: en · peer reviewed: yes · Urban studies · approach: mixed · source: pdf/gil_2024_assetization_valencia.pdf

Airbnbshort-term rentalshousing assetizationhousing financializationtouristificationdisplacement

Analysis mode
document only
Verdict
partially supported
Rubric score
2.7/5
Claim support index ?
47/100
core claims (thesis/main/conclusion): 45

Proposes 'STR housing assetization' as a better concept than gentrification or touristification for STR-driven urban change, and illustrates it with the 2019 Valencia InsideAirbnb data (rent gaps, professional hosts, high guest densities, displacement estimates).

Thesis (C1) STR-driven urban change is best conceptualised as 'STR housing assetization' — a distinct urban accumulation-by-dispossession strategy — rather than as gentrification, touristification or tourism gentrification; this term has greater explanatory power. partial

A thoughtful conceptual contribution whose empirical half re-uses the 2019 Valencia dataset. The descriptive evidence on rent gaps, professional concentration and spatial clustering is consistent with the concept, but the features that would distinguish 'assetization' from touristification are not measured, and the most striking numbers (9,047 displaced, ≥27.89% supply reduction) are assumption-driven upper-bound scenarios presented as minimums.

Claims (13)
193
Issues (9)
324
Numeric checks (10)
5311
conceptualclarity (4)logicalcoherence (3)evidentialsupport (2)methodologicalrigor (2)transparency(3)proportionality(2)

Summary

The paper argues that STR-led urban change is best understood not as gentrification (no upper-class replacement) nor touristification (not the traditional tourism industry) but as a specific form of housing assetization: STRs raise exchange value, yield and liquidity of housing (escaping tenancy law), attracting capital. Three elements define the strategy: STR-induced rent gaps, emergence of professional intermediaries, and profit-maximising practices (tourist areas, small flats, high guest density). Displacement is decomposed into direct, exclusionary and pressure forms, with STR displacement said to be primarily financial and to target tenants, implying class antagonism. Empirically it re-uses the 31 July 2019 Valencia InsideAirbnb scrape (7,203 listings) with AirDNA occupancy, Idealista rents and INE stock: rent gap €497-958/month on average; top-gap districts €10.8-11.5k/year; tourist districts generate 51.8% of STR revenue; multi-listing hosts 58.54% of listings; guests per bedroom higher for multi-hosts and small flats; top-10% earners get 52.79% of revenue. It estimates 3,663 homes extracted and ~9,047 people directly displaced, rental supply in the two tourist districts reduced by ≥27.89% and ≥14.09%, and argues that STR harms should be addressed by housing rather than tourism policy.

Research questions

  1. Is 'STR housing assetization' a more suitable concept than gentrification/touristification for STR-driven change?
  2. Can the accumulation strategy be observed empirically in the STR market of a city (Valencia)?

Stated contribution

A new concept (STR housing assetization) with a three-element mechanism and an STR-specific typology of displacement, plus an empirical illustration.

How the argument is built

Literature: financialization/assetization → STRs raise rent and liquidity → professionalisation → touristification → displacement typology and class analysis. Methods: Valencia 2019 data. Analysis: rent gap; professional hosts; densities; revenue concentration; displacement estimates. Discussion: concept, class antagonism, housing-policy implications.

Argument map

Claims (boxes) coloured by how well the paper supports them; concepts as ellipses. Arrows point from premise to what it supports. Thick black border = thesis; blue border = conclusion/recommendation. Click a node to jump to it. Layout engine: graphviz.

strongadequatepartialweakunsupportednot applicable supports / generalizesexplains / enables / illustratesdefines / motivates / qualifies line width = strength
G C1 C1 · thesis STR-driven urban change is best conceptualised as 'STR housing assetization' — a distinct urban… C12 C12 · recommendation STR harms should be addressed through housing policy (protecting residential use) rather… C1->C12 C2 C2 · main STRs increase housing's rent yield (rent gap) and its flexibility/liquidity as an asset because they… C2->C1 C3 C3 · main Converting a dwelling to STR in Valencia yields on average €497-958/month more than residential… C3->C2 C4 C4 · main STR markets are controlled by a small number of professional actors: multi-listing hosts are… C3->C4 C4->C1 C7 C7 · supporting Revenue is concentrated: the top 10% of hosts earn 52.79% and operate disproportionately in… C4->C7 C5 C5 · supporting The more listings a host has, the more they concentrate in tourist areas (r falls from 0.98… C5->C4 C6 C6 · main Professional hosts raise yields through higher guest densities: more guests per bedroom among… C6->C1 C8 C8 · main About 3,663 homes were extracted from the rental market and ~9,047 people directly displaced by STR… C11 C11 · main STR displacement is primarily financial and affects tenants (homeowners may leave wit… C8->C11 C9 C9 · main In the two tourist districts STRs equal 39.6% and 27.46% of rental stock and reduced residential… C9->C11 C10 C10 · main STRs generate displacement pressure only where traditional tourism already does (Ciutat… C10->C1 C11->C1 C11->C12 C13 C13 · intermediate Most entire homes are likely extracted from the residential market because 74.75% are rented >60 day… C13->C8 K1 K1 STR housing assetization K1->C1 K2 K2 STR-induced rent gap K2->C3 K3 K3 Direct / exclusionary displacement / displacement pressure K3->C8 K4 K4 STR 'occupancy rate' (guests per bedroom) K4->C6
Relations as a table (18)
FromTypeToStrengthNote
K1definesC1
K2definesC3
K3definesC8
K4definesC6
C2supportsC1strong
C3supportsC2moderate
C3explainsC4moderateRent gap creates business opportunity → professionals emerge (element 2).
C4supportsC1moderate
C5qualifiesC4weak
C6supportsC1weakElement 3: profit-maximising practices.
C4explainsC7moderate
C13enablesC8moderate
C8supportsC11weak
C9supportsC11weak
C10supportsC1weakDifferentiates STR assetization from touristification.
C11supportsC1moderate
C1motivatesC12moderate
C11motivatesC12moderate

Claims (13)

Filter:
C1 partial thesistheoretical contestedpp. 1-2, 15

STR-driven urban change is best conceptualised as 'STR housing assetization' — a distinct urban accumulation-by-dispossession strategy — rather than as gentrification, touristification or tourism gentrification; this term has greater explanatory power.

Assessment: The conceptual argument is coherent and well grounded in the financialization literature, and the distinctions drawn (who is displaced; role of tenancy law) are genuinely useful. But 'greater explanatory power' is never tested: the Valencia evidence (rent gaps, professionalisation, concentration) would be equally consistent with the rival framings, and the asset-specific features (liquidity, capital flows into housing, investor ownership) are not measured.

C2 partial maintheoretical common knowledgepp. 3-4

STRs increase housing's rent yield (rent gap) and its flexibility/liquidity as an asset because they escape tenancy law, making STRs a mechanism of housing financialization.

Assessment: The yield side is supported by the rent-gap estimate; the liquidity/flexibility side is argued from literature (Kemp; Dagkouli-Kyriakoglou et al.) with no Valencia evidence (e.g. sales, holding periods, investor purchases).

C3 partial mainempirical comparative common knowledgepp. 9-11

Converting a dwelling to STR in Valencia yields on average €497-958/month more than residential letting (over €10.7k/year in the top four districts); the rent gap remains high in tourist districts despite high supply, because tourist demand is strong.

Assessment: A positive gap is plausible. Magnitude depends on un-tested assumptions (70 m2, asking rents, list prices, uniform district occupancy). The method differs from Gil (2021) on the identical dataset (which reported €500-1,200) without explanation. The demand-based explanation for persistent gaps is conjecture from a single cross-section.

C4 adequate mainempirical descriptive non trivialpp. 10-11, Table 1

STR markets are controlled by a small number of professional actors: multi-listing hosts are 28.34% of hosts but hold 58.54% of listings; 15 hosts hold 660 listings.

Assessment: Counts reconcile (see Gil 2021 audit); the 71.91% single-host share is a carried-over error (should be 71.66%).

C6 partial mainempirical comparative non trivialpp. 11-12

Professional hosts raise yields through higher guest densities: more guests per bedroom among multi-listing and high-availability hosts and in small flats; small flats are over-represented among multi-hosts; this creates displacement pressure and 'low-cost' tourism.

Assessment: The descriptive differences are reported (2.05 vs 2.36 guests/bedroom), but they measure maximum permitted guests, not actual occupants; differences are modest; the link to displacement pressure is asserted from literature. The paper equates this density with 'occupancy rate', the same term used for booked-night occupancy, creating ambiguity. 'Yield' is not computed per host type.

C8 weak mainempirical causal non trivialpp. 13, 16

About 3,663 homes were extracted from the rental market and ~9,047 people directly displaced by STRs in Valencia over the last decade; in the discussion this becomes 'a minimum of 9,047 residents'.

“It was estimated that a minimum of 9,047 residents have suffered this form of displacement in Valencia.”

Assessment: Arithmetic is correct (3,663 x 2.47 = 9,048) but the estimate assumes every entire home listed >60 days previously housed a tenant household of average size that was displaced. Former owner-occupied, second, vacant, newly built or purpose-built tourist units would all inflate the count, while the snapshot cannot date conversions to 'the last decade'. The figure is an upper-bound scenario, yet the discussion calls it a minimum.

C9 weak mainempirical causal non trivialpp. 13-14, 16

In the two tourist districts STRs equal 39.6% and 27.46% of rental stock and reduced residential rental supply by at least 27.89% and 14.09%; together with 54-58% rent rises (2013-19) this shows STRs reduce supply and increase rents, causing exclusionary displacement.

Assessment: Same stock-ratio logic as Gil (2021) plus an assumption that multi-host listings were 'highly probably' withdrawn from residential rental — presented as a lower bound. Rent rises are co-temporal but not attributed: Ciutat Vella's increase was only the fourth highest, so districts with far fewer STRs rose faster, which weakens the causal reading the paper then states ('As a result, STRs both reduce ... and increase ...').

C10 weak mainempirical causal non trivialpp. 14-16

STRs generate displacement pressure only where traditional tourism already does (Ciutat Vella: capacity 22.77% of residents); elsewhere they do not create coexistence problems or deteriorate livability.

Assessment: Inferred from capacity ratios alone; no data on noise, complaints, retail change or resident perceptions. The negative claim ('do not create coexistence problems') is as unsupported as a positive one would be, and sits in tension with the paper's own earlier statement that STRs deteriorate community life within buildings (a building-level effect that does not require area-level concentration).

C11 partial maintheoretical non trivialpp. 7-8, 16-17

STR displacement is primarily financial and affects tenants (homeowners may leave with a capital gain), so STR conflicts express class antagonism between asset holders and tenants rather than residents vs tourists.

Assessment: Logically coherent distinction and a useful contribution; empirically untested here (no tenure data on displaced persons).

C13 partial intermediateempirical descriptive non trivialp. 10

Most entire homes are likely extracted from the residential market because 74.75% are rented >60 days a year.

Assessment: 'Rented' here actually refers to calendar availability; a 60-day threshold is lower than the 90- or 182-day thresholds used in earlier papers on the same data; 'extracted from the residential market' is assumed from literature.

C5 partial supportingempirical comparative non trivialp. 11

The more listings a host has, the more they concentrate in tourist areas (r falls from 0.98 to 0.74).

Assessment: Direction plausible, but correlating each band's distribution with the overall distribution that contains that band is a part-whole correlation (inflating r for large bands); the relation is not monotonic (single hosts r = 0.916 < 2-5 hosts r = 0.980); 'significant' is claimed without test or n (≈19 districts).

C7 partial supportingempirical descriptive non trivialpp. 12-13

Revenue is concentrated: the top 10% of hosts earn 52.79% and operate disproportionately in Ciutat Vella and small dwellings; these actors have the most negative impact on the housing market.

Assessment: Concentration figures are consistent (and close to Gil 2021's 52.81%). The 'most negative impact' inference is not measured. Over-representation units are unclear (percentage points vs relative %).

C12 partial recommendationnormative contestedp. 17

STR harms should be addressed through housing policy (protecting residential use) rather than tourism/zoning policy; under strict housing regulation STR rent gaps 'cannot emerge'. Evidence: during the pandemic STRs did not return to the residential market.

Assessment: Follows from the framework. The 'impossible' claim is overstated. The pandemic evidence is in tension with other work in the corpus (Gil 2021 and Sequera et al. 2022 report some owners moving STRs to residential or mid-term rental).

Evidence & data

Design

Mixed. Conceptual argument followed by a single-city, single-snapshot descriptive quantitative illustration (same dataset as Gil 2021, Cuadernos Geográficos).

Scope: Valencia, 2019 (with 2013-2019 rent changes).

Methods

  • Conceptual synthesis
  • Descriptive shares and district indicators
  • Rent-gap estimate (price x district occupancy − 15% commission − 20% management vs 70 m2 x rent/m2)
  • Pearson correlations of district distributions by host band
  • Back-of-envelope displacement estimate (listings >60 days x household size)

Transparency notes

Assumptions stated; rent-gap method differs from Gil (2021) on the same data without comment; correlation inputs (district vectors) not reported; no significance tests shown though 'significant' is claimed.

Limitations acknowledged by the authors

  • 'It is impossible to determine the number of direct displacements' — the figure is an estimate.
  • Rent increases 'cannot be attributed exclusively to STRs'.
  • Pre-pandemic scrape chosen deliberately.

Data sources

IDSourceTypeDescriptionCoverageLoc.
D1InsideAirbnb Valencia, 31 July 2019scraped platform data7,654 listings; 451 inactive and 46 long-stay removed; 7,203 analysed.Valencia city, one date (last pre-pandemic scrape).p. 9
D2AirDNA district occupancyscraped platform dataDistrict occupancy rates applied to all listings in a district.p. 9
D3Idealista rentsotherDistrict asking rent per m2 (2019 without Nov-Dec; three districts missing); 2013-2019 rent changes.pp. 9, 14
D4INE housing stock / population; GVA household sizeofficial statisticsRental stock and population by district; average household size 2.47.pp. 9, 13
D5Literature on financialization, STRs, touristification and displacementsecondary literatureAalbers, Fields, Wachsmuth & Weisler, Cocola-Gant, Sequera & Nofre, Marcuse, etc.pp. 2-8

Evidence items (11)

IDKindDescriptionLoc.SourceUsed by
E1literature Review of financialization, rent-gap, professionalisation, touristification and displacement literature. pp. 2-8D5 C1C2C11
E2statistic Entire homes 68.3% (4,920); 74.75% of them rented >60 days/year; 46.32% of entire homes vs 26.12% of rooms in the two tourist districts. p. 10, Figure 1D1 C13
E3figure Rent gap €497-958/month on average; €10,781-11,495/year in the top four districts; tourist districts produce >€30m/year = 51.8% of STR revenue. pp. 10-11, Figure 2D3 C2C3
E4table Table 1: listing accumulation by host band (same figures as Gil 2021, including 71.91%). p. 11, Table 1D1 C4
E5statistic Correlation of each band's district distribution with the overall distribution: r = 0.916, 0.9799, 0.8714, 0.7388. p. 11D1 C5
E6table Table 2: guests, price per night, per guest and per bedroom by bedrooms; guests per bedroom 2.05 (single hosts) vs 2.36 (>20 listings); 2.1 vs 2.23-2.34 by availability; multi-hosts over-represented in studios (+21.66%) and 1-bed (+5.84%). pp. 11-12, Table 2D1 C6
E7statistic Revenue concentration: top 10% 52.79%, top 20% 67.53%; top earners 35.96% in Ciutat Vella (+14 points) and over-specialised in studios (+2.18%) and 1-bed (+13.57%). pp. 12-13, Figure 3D2 C7
E8statistic Displacement estimate: 3,663 homes listed >60 days assumed extracted from the rental market x 2.47 persons = ~9,047 displaced. p. 13D4 C8
E9statistic STRs = 39.6% and 27.46% of rental stock in Ciutat Vella and Poblats Marítims; estimated supply reduction ≥27.89% and ≥14.09%; rents rose 54.17% and 57.89% in 2013-2019 (4th and 1st highest). pp. 13-14, Figure 4D3 C9
E10statistic Guest capacity: Ciutat Vella 6,165 = 22.77% of residents; Poblats Marítims 5,345 = 9.59%. p. 14, Figure 5D4 C10
E11literature Gil et al. (2023): during the pandemic STRs did not return to the residential market. p. 17 C12

Concepts & definitions

IDTermDefinitionOriginAnalyst note
K1STR housing assetization
pp. 2, 4-5, 15
An urban accumulation-by-dispossession strategy in which STRs increase the exchange value, yield, flexibility and liquidity of housing as an asset, attracting capital and professional intermediaries.coinedDefined mostly by its effects; the 'liquidity/asset-class' component is not operationalised in the empirical section.
K2STR-induced rent gap
pp. 3-4, 9
Difference between STR income and residential rent for the same dwelling.adapted
Smith (1996); Wachsmuth & Weisler (2018)
K3Direct / exclusionary displacement / displacement pressure
pp. 6-7
STR adaptation of Marcuse's typology via Cocola-Gant (2016).adapted
Marcuse (1985); Cocola-Gant (2016)
K4STR 'occupancy rate' (guests per bedroom)
pp. 11-12
Maximum number of guests allowed relative to bedrooms, compared with average household size.operationalThe same term is used for AirDNA's booked-days occupancy rate; the two meanings are conflated in places. Guest capacity is a maximum, not actual use.

Issues (9)

I1 major conceptual Concept's distinctive features not operationalised

What distinguishes 'assetization' from rent-gap-driven touristification (liquidity, capital switching, investor ownership, asset-class treatment) is not measured: the data are listing-level only, with no ownership, transaction or capital-flow information. Hence the empirical section cannot adjudicate between the proposed concept and rival framings, and 'greater explanatory power' is asserted rather than demonstrated.

Impact on conclusions: The concept remains a plausible theoretical proposal; the Valencia case illustrates but does not test it.

I6 major overgeneralization Displacement estimate presented as a minimumpp. 13, 16

The 9,047 figure assumes every high-availability entire home displaced a tenant household; it is explicitly an estimate on p. 13 ('are believed to', 'are thought to') but becomes 'a minimum of 9,047 residents' in the discussion. The same 'at least' framing is applied to the supply-reduction figures, which rest on the assumption that multi-host listings were withdrawn from residential rental.

Impact on conclusions: Headline displacement numbers should be read as upper-bound scenarios.

I8 major causal inference Causal claims about rents and livability from cross-sectional ratiospp. 13-16

Rent increases are co-temporal only (and Ciutat Vella ranked 4th), and livability effects are inferred from capacity ratios; both are then stated as outcomes ('As a result, STRs ... increase residential rental prices'; 'does not deteriorate community livability').

Impact on conclusions: These conclusions are hypotheses consistent with the data.

I2 moderate transparency Rent-gap method changed from earlier paper on identical datap. 9

Gil (2021) used price x available days x occupancy − 20% and found €500-1,200/month; this paper uses price x occupancy − 15% commission − 20% and finds €497-958/month, without noting the change or reconciling results. Key assumptions (70 m2, asking rents, list prices) are unchanged and untested.

Impact on conclusions: Magnitude uncertain; a positive gap likely.

I5 moderate measurement Guest capacity treated as actual occupancypp. 11-12

'Occupancy rate' is used both for booked-night share (AirDNA) and for maximum guests per bedroom; the latter is compared with average household size (2.47) as if it were actual occupants. Also '40% / 30% / 20%' of listings by guests per bedroom sum to 90%.

Impact on conclusions: Density differences are suggestive only.

I3 minor arithmetic Carried-over data errorspp. 9-11, 13

Sample arithmetic (7,654 − 451 − 46 ≠ 7,203) and the 71.91% single-host share (should be 71.66%) are repeated from Gil (2021). Also 3,663 homes vs 74.75% x 4,920 = 3,678.

Impact on conclusions: None on conclusions.

I4 minor measurement Part-whole correlations and unreported significancep. 11

Band distributions are correlated with an overall distribution that includes them; no n, test or p-values are given; the pattern is not monotonic.

Impact on conclusions: Weakens a secondary claim; the Ciutat Vella overrepresentation may still hold.

I7 minor measurement Modelled revenue and 'impact' language

Revenue and 'yield' are modelled from district occupancy and list price; impact on the residential market is inferred, not measured. Over-representation units (percent vs points) are ambiguous.

Impact on conclusions: Minor.

I9 minor logic Overstated policy claimp. 17

'It is therefore impossible for STR-induced rent gaps to emerge under a strict housing regulation' is an unqualified deduction; the cited pandemic evidence is in tension with other corpus papers that report some STR-to-residential switching.

Impact on conclusions: Recommendation direction reasonable; certainty overstated.

Numeric verification checks (10)

Scope internal = numbers printed in the document; cross paper = other corpus documents; external / replication = outside sources or re-analysis of original data (web mode only).

IDStatusScopeWhat was checkedComputationResultLoc.Claims
V1passinternalDisplacement arithmetic.3,663 x 2.479,047.6 — matches.p. 13C8
V2minor discrepancyinternalHomes listed >60 days vs stated share.74.75% x 4,9203,678, vs 3,663 used (difference 15; threshold >60 vs ≥60 could explain).pp. 10, 13C8C13
V3passinternalTable 2 price per bedroom.price / bedrooms (studio = 1)59.70, 65.22, 38.78, 28.52, 27.69 — all match.p. 11, Table 2C6
V4minor discrepancyinternalTable 2 price per guest.price / guests21.55, 20.70, 17.16, 15.04, 15.49 vs reported 24.82, 23.10, 17.74, 15.36, 15.49. Consistent only if per-guest is a mean of listing-level ratios (legitimate but then inconsistent with the per-bedroom column, which is a ratio of means). Not documented.p. 11, Table 2C6
V5passinternalGuests per bedroom by size.4.52/2; 5.69/3; 7.15/42.26, 1.90, 1.79 — match.p. 12C6
V6minor discrepancyinternalListings by guests-per-bedroom categories.40% + 30% + 20%90% — 10% of listings unaccounted for.p. 12C6
V7passinternalFour-person group example.110.74 − 77.55€33.19 saving (text: '€30') — consistent.p. 11C6
V8passcross paperRevenue shares vs Gil (2021) on the same data.52.79/67.53/32.47 (here) vs 52.81/67.58/32.45 (2021)Very close; differences consistent with changed revenue formula. Shares sum to 100.00%.p. 12C7
V9not checkableinternalImplied total STR revenue and Poblats Marítims population.€30m / 0.518; 5,345 / 0.0959≈ €58m total; ≈ 55,700 residents — plausible, not otherwise checkable.pp. 10, 14C3C10
V10failinternalSample size after exclusions (carried over).7,654 − 451 − 467,157 ≠ 7,203.p. 9C4

Overall assessment

Evaluation frame: A conceptual paper with an empirical illustration. The concept should be judged on coherence, distinctiveness and usefulness; the empirical section on whether it actually shows the mechanism specific to the concept, and whether estimates are framed with appropriate uncertainty.

DimensionScoreRationale
conceptual clarity4Clear three-element mechanism and a useful displacement typology with a class dimension; 'occupancy rate' ambiguity.
logical coherence3Argument well structured, but empirical findings do not discriminate between the proposed and rival concepts; some internal tensions (livability).
evidential support2Descriptive indicators are solid; displacement, supply-reduction and rent-effect claims rest on strong assumptions.
methodological rigor2Single snapshot, part-whole correlations, capacity used as occupancy, back-of-envelope displacement estimate.
transparency3Assumptions stated, but method change vs 2021 not disclosed and carried-over errors.
proportionality2Estimates turned into 'minimum' counts; 'impossible' policy deduction.

Strengths

  • Clear theoretical positioning in the financialization literature.
  • Tenant-vs-homeowner differentiation of displacement is insightful.
  • Explicit assumptions; honest caveat that displacement cannot be measured directly.
  • Useful policy reframing (housing vs tourism policy).

Weaknesses

  • Concept not empirically discriminated from rivals.
  • Displacement and supply-loss estimates overstated as minimums.
  • Re-use of 2019 data with undisclosed change in rent-gap method and repeated errors.
  • Guest capacity conflated with occupancy.

Robust claims

C4C11

Fragile claims

C8C9C10C12

What would strengthen the work

  • Measure asset-related features: ownership type, purchases for STR, holding periods, capital sources.
  • Present displacement as a range with lower/upper assumptions (tenure before conversion).
  • Use panel data on rents and STR density with controls.
  • Reconcile rent-gap method with Gil (2021).

Links to the rest of the corpus

X1 contradiction moderate Did pandemic STRs return to the residential market?

Gil (2023) states that during the pandemic 'STRs did not return to the residential market (Gil et al., 2023)' and uses this to argue for housing-policy (not tourism-policy) responses. Gil, Vidal & Yrigoy (2026) cite the same source for STR units being 'temporarily redirected to residential or mid-term segments'. Sequera et al. (2022) document central Madrid long-term listings rising from 1,300 to 4,600 and back to 1,900, and Gil (2021) reported hosts 'directly ending the business and renting in the residential market'. The evidence supports a temporary switch, largely under seasonal contracts; the 2023 paper's unqualified statement understates it.

Implication: The policy argument in Gil (2023) should be qualified: switching occurred but was temporary and often outside long-term residential contracts.

X4 data reuse moderate Same Valencia 2019 scrape, undisclosed change of rent-gap method

Gil (2021) and Gil (2023) analyse the identical 31 July 2019 InsideAirbnb Valencia dataset. Errors propagate (7,654 − 451 − 46 ≠ 7,203; single-host share 71.91% instead of 71.66%). The rent-gap formula changes (availability-based vs occupancy with 15% commission) giving €500-1,200 vs €497-958 per month, without acknowledgement; the 'not habitual residence' threshold shifts from 90/182 days to 60 days.

Implication: Readers cannot tell which estimate is preferred; magnitudes are assumption-driven.

X5 method drift moderate Shifting thresholds for 'commercial' / 'non-residential' listings

Availability >182 days defines commercial listings in Gil (2021) and Gil & Sequera (2020); Gil (2021) also uses >90 days to argue non-residence; Gil (2023) uses >60 days to estimate homes 'extracted from the rental market' and displacement.

Implication: Lower thresholds mechanically raise displacement estimates; sensitivity analysis is never reported.

X10 citation chain moderate The 'policy package' causal claim becomes a premise

Gil & Martínez (2021) attribute the 2014-2020 boom to the 2013 SOCIMI/LAU/privatization package, post hoc. Later papers state as settled that 'the reforms achieved their objective' (Gil & Palomera 2024), that the package 'contributed to generating expectations of profitability' (Vidal et al. 2024), and build periodisations on it (Martínez & Gil 2022; Gil 2023). The 2025 special-issue introduction instead foregrounds QE, low rates and Basel III as drivers of GCL expansion.

Implication: A contested interpretation gains apparent robustness through self-citation; the programme's own later synthesis implicitly weakens it.

Premises taken from other corpus papers

Later corpus papers that rely on this one

Provenance

Analyst: Claude (Anthropic), LLM-generated audit · 2026-11-08 · access: document only · text: text/gil_2024_assetization_valencia.txt · schema v1.1

No external sources were consulted (offline run). Figures are assumed to be correctly reported; claims[].external, citation checks and external/replication checks were not performed.

PDF page 1 is the publisher cover; article page n = PDF page n+1. Shares the dataset of gil_2021_valencia_airbnb.